Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.234777 0.272489 0.314346 0.364256 0.422170 0.487282 0.566086
2025-05-25 0.167984 0.216061 0.275120 0.353056 0.453312 0.578117 0.745578
2025-06-01 0.139860 0.193064 0.263149 0.362335 0.499348 0.682354 0.946112
2025-06-08 0.118380 0.173090 0.249375 0.363673 0.531010 0.767754 1.129522
2025-06-15 0.103957 0.159756 0.241482 0.370134 0.568221 0.862809 1.336446
2025-06-22 0.089202 0.143291 0.226057 0.362220 0.581513 0.922497 1.496221
2025-06-29 0.078391 0.131119 0.215093 0.358918 0.600272 0.991168 1.676825
2025-07-06 0.070585 0.122568 0.208478 0.361216 0.627490 1.075375 1.891979
2025-07-13 0.066629 0.119843 0.210901 0.378581 0.681591 1.209752 2.208490
2025-07-20 0.062352 0.115924 0.210646 0.390942 0.727957 1.335450 2.524416
2025-07-27 0.058435 0.112103 0.209985 0.402238 0.773330 1.463918 2.860447
2025-08-03 0.053985 0.106697 0.205714 0.406083 0.804830 1.569736 3.165474
2025-08-10 0.048988 0.099737 0.197906 0.402560 0.822426 1.652589 3.439165
2025-08-17 0.043596 0.091348 0.186383 0.390303 0.821202 1.698568 3.644616
2025-08-24 0.041164 0.088697 0.185949 0.400568 0.867306 1.845219 4.079090
2025-08-31 0.038142 0.084417 0.181640 0.402048 0.894784 1.955899 4.449351
2025-09-07 0.035931 0.081610 0.180075 0.409196 0.935288 2.098776 4.908800
2025-09-14 0.032650 0.076022 0.171839 0.400440 0.938960 2.160707 5.190127
2025-09-21 0.030101 0.071799 0.166146 0.396787 0.953843 2.249448 5.545517
2025-09-28 0.028233 0.068950 0.163252 0.399329 0.983589 2.375885 6.007974
2025-10-05 0.027605 0.069001 0.167109 0.418543 1.055980 2.611889 6.772760
2025-10-12 0.026647 0.068126 0.168652 0.432221 1.116235 2.825223 7.507056
2025-10-19 0.025672 0.067092 0.169685 0.444721 1.174978 3.041508 8.276861